Late cycle signals in US.

Cyclicality is one of the underlying inevitabilities of macroeconomics and, after one of the longest bull markets in U.S. history, the U.S. economy is finally showing signs that it has entered a late cycle phase. The first of these signals is one of the classic tell-tale recession indicators – an inverted yield curve. Sections of Read More…

Latin American Growth Environment

A look at the growth in Latin America reveals slower and relatively volatile attributes, even when adjusted for its’ emerging market classification. GDP growth in Latin America equaled 2.8 percent on average between 2000 and 2016. Peru has been the quickest growing Latin averaging 5.2 percent per year. Regional growth’s volatility has been attributed to Read More…

US Corporate High Yield Credit

Shortly after US Corporate High Yield credit spreads reached their tightest levels, investors are now worried that the credit cycle is turning, evident in last year’s abrupt about- face in spreads. Investors are aware that the economy remains the most important driver of defaults but appear to underestimate forecasts of US GDP growth remaining above Read More…

Energy Mix Transitions: Looking Towards 2050

The worldwide evolution of energy systems represents a hallmark of modern times. This trend is expected to not just continue, but accelerate; car fuel, heating systems, and industry power sources in the coming decades are projecting drastic changes attributed to regulation and innovation. Taking a look at the demand perspective, Global demand for energy is projected to peak around the Read More…

Evolution of the Global Supply Chain

Amidst political winds, true changes in the nature of globalization can easily get overlooked. Globalization drastically transitioned in the mid-2000s, where physical goods became less trade-intensive. Though it is true that output and trade continue in growth (in absolute terms), a smaller percentage of goods off the world’s assembly lines is now traded across borders. Read More…

Bond Market Shifts

Now is a good time for investors to re-balance their fixed-income portfolios and add more government bonds. As the stock market reaches new highs, analysts remain concerned that investors are too complacent about risks, such as escalating trade tensions with China, a slowing in earnings growth and the expectation that the Federal Reserve will keep Read More…

eSports Boom in China

The market for eSports and online games is rapidly growing in China, spurred by demand from consumers in the country’s smaller cities. Later this year, the world’s first purpose-built eSports gaming stadium is set to open in China’s Chongqing municipality with space for up to 20,000 excited fans. The municipality’s plan is to make the Read More…

Green Hydrogen Could Revolutionize Energy Production

Green hydrogen could revolutionize energy production, helping utilities run more flexible power grids while reducing fossil fuel emissions. Could hydrogen power be the key to a more carbon-free world? Although a high percentage of the hydrogen power currently produced comes from fossil fuels, further declines in the cost of emissions-free “green” hydrogen production could accelerate Read More…